UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Las Vegas, USA
28 May 2011
Lightweight
VS
68%
Tibau
32%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tibau
Tibau holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tibau has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tibau
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tibau
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
7.2
43.2
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
74
Momentum Score
15
Tibau
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
35%
Strike Accuracy
30%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch1
8Ground0
Tibau
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tibau
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Tibau
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
15
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Tibau
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tibau
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
TibauOliveira
Strike Zones
Tibau
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the body (100% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tibau
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tibau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Tibau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Erik KochRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Yoislandy IzquierdoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8Submission
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05