UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Buenos Aires, Argentina
17 Nov 2018
Welterweight
VS
91%
Staropoli
9%
Aldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Staropoli
Staropoli is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Staropoli has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Staropoli throws more volume but Aldana connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Aldana has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Staropoli
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Staropoli
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
1.5
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
10
Momentum Score
0
Staropoli
Aldana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
8
5
Body
4
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
40Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Staropoli
Aldana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Staropoli
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/7 fights
Staropoli
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Staropoli
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Staropoli
Aldana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StaropoliAldana
Strike Zones
Staropoli
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedAldana
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Staropoli targets the head (68% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the head (62% of attacks) — Staropoli absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Staropoli
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0
Staropoli · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Aldana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Staropoli · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
Aldana · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · KO · R2
Song KenanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06