METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
Atlantic City, USA
21 Apr 2018
Middleweight
VS
27%
Branch
73%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:30
★ Official Result
David BranchwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:30
def. Thiago Santos · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Branch wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Santos is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Branch's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BranchSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Branch
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
76"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Branch
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.9
32.2
38.0
Performance Avg
54.0
34
Quality of Victory
51
36
Momentum Score
91
Branch
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
9.0
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
7.3
6.9
Style: Volume
2.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
2
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
1Distance14
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Branch
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Branch
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/28 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Branch
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Branch
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
79%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Branch
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
BranchSantos
Strike Zones
Branch
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedSantos
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Branch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Branch
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Branch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jack HermanssonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke RockholdKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11