UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Cedar Rapids, USA
16 Jul 1999
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Smith
55%
Ruas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ruas
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 45% vs Ruas at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ruas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Ruas throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Smith
Ruas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
64+
Age
65
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Ruas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
26.4
53.4
Performance Avg
66.0
51
Quality of Victory
66
76
Momentum Score
98
Smith
Ruas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.2
75%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Smith
Ruas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Ruas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Smith
Ruas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
98
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Smith
Ruas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Ruas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.2
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
SmithRuas
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedRuas
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ruas absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ruas targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Ruas
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ruas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renato SobralRating 5.5Decision
UFC 28: High Stakes · 2000-11
W · Dec · R3
Bobby HoffmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
W · KO · R1
Marco RuasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
L · Dec · R2
Kevin RandlemanRating 4.8Decision
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
L · Dec · R3
Randy CoutureRating 5.5Decision
UFC - Ultimate Japan · 1997-12
Ruas · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Maurice SmithRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
L · Dec · R1
Oleg TaktarovRating 4Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
W · Sub · R1
Keith HackneyRating 5Submission
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
W · KO · R1
Paul VarelansRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 7: The Brawl in Buffalo · 1995-09
W · Sub · R1
Remco PardoelRating 5Submission
UFC 7: The Brawl in Buffalo · 1995-09