UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Featherweight
VS
40%
Pearce
60%
Brito
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brito
Brito holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Pearce has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Pearce throws more volume but Brito connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pearce's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearce
Brito
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Pearce
Brito
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.8
66.1
47.4
Performance Avg
54.3
42
Quality of Victory
46
56
Momentum Score
98
Pearce
Brito
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Pearce
Brito
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pearce
Brito
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/23 fights
Pearce
Brito
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
Pearce
Brito
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearce
Brito
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
PearceBrito
Strike Zones
Pearce
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBrito
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearce targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brito absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearce
RND
Brito
0/0R00/0
Pearce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Brito · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Pearce · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoRating 4.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Brito · Last 5
Upcoming
Jordan LeavittUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac ThomsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · R2
Jack ShoreRating 5UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

