UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
London, United Kingdom
16 Oct 2010
Lightweight
VS
63%
Fisher
37%
Warburton
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fisher
Fisher holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Warburton has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fisher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Fisher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fisher's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fisher
Warburton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
+73"
50
Age
—
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fisher
Warburton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
10.6
43.8
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
27
Fisher
Warburton
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
11
Body
4
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance8
7Clinch3
1Ground0
Fisher
Warburton
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fisher
Warburton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/33 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Fisher
Warburton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
27
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fisher
Warburton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fisher
Warburton
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
FisherWarburton
Strike Zones
Fisher
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedWarburton
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fisher targets the body (50% of attacks) — Warburton absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Warburton targets the body (36% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 36% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fisher
RND
Warburton
0/0R00/0
Fisher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Warburton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Fisher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago TavaresRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
Warburton · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5Submission
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
W · Dec · R3
Maciej JewtuszkoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
L · Dec · R3
Spencer FisherRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10