METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Lightweight
VS
50%
Holobaugh
50%
Hubbard
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:39
★ Official Result
Kurt HolobaughwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:39
def. Austin Hubbard · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holobaugh
→
Actual result
Holobaugh wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holobaugh at 50% vs Hubbard at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Holobaugh has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Holobaugh's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hubbard has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HolobaughHubbard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holobaugh
Hubbard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holobaugh
Hubbard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.1
31.7
31.2
Performance Avg
28.7
37
Quality of Victory
26
20
Momentum Score
41
Holobaugh
Hubbard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
1.0
4.4
Style: Volume
6.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
9
4
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance11
2Clinch2
2Ground0
Holobaugh
Hubbard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holobaugh
Hubbard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Holobaugh
Hubbard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Holobaugh
Hubbard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holobaugh
Hubbard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
HolobaughHubbard
Strike Zones
Holobaugh
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedHubbard
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holobaugh targets the head (83% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Hubbard targets the head (69% of attacks) — Holobaugh absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holobaugh
RND
Hubbard
0/0R00/0
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UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08