UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2007
Lightweight
VS
48%
Florian
52%
Thomas
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thomas
This is a genuine toss-up — Florian at 48% vs Thomas at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Florian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Florian has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Florian's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thomas has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Florian
Thomas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
74"
Reach
49
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Florian
Thomas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
19.2
55.4
Performance Avg
43.1
45
Quality of Victory
35
28
Momentum Score
100
Florian
Thomas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
3
4
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
0Clinch1
22Ground2
Florian
Thomas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.1
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
5.8
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
7
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Florian
Thomas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Florian
Thomas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Florian
Thomas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Florian
Thomas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
5.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
FlorianThomas
Strike Zones
Florian
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedThomas
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Florian targets the head (78% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Thomas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Florian
RND
Thomas
0/0R00/0
Florian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Thomas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Florian · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
Thomas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · Sub · R1
Kenny FlorianRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy StephensRating 5.8Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Sub · R2
Rich ClementiRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11