UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Shanghai, China
25 Nov 2017
Featherweight
VS
35%
Guan
65%
Caceres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
WG
Wang Guan
"The Dongbei Tiger"
20 – 1
5'9"71" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Alex
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Caceres

Caceres holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Guan has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Guan
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guan
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
39.7
55.0
Performance Avg
42.2
25
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
76
Guan
Caceres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
12
2
Body
8
10
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance20
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Guan
Caceres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guan
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Guan
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
76
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Guan
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guan
Caceres
Striking2.0 / 1.7Volume10.0 / 6.1Grappling2.4 / 3.5Wrestling1.7 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure3.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Guan
Strike Zones
Caceres
Guan
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY10LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD8BODY3LEGS23 absorbed
Caceres
Attacking
12HEAD8BODY3LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY10LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guan targets the legs (59% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (52% of attacks) — Guan absorbs 52% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guan
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Caceres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W7.1L2.8L4.2W5.5L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.5W5.4W6.3L5.2W5.4W6.5L6.6L2011-032014-072017-112022-032024-05
WinLossTrend

Guan · Last 1

W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11

Caceres · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

News & Media

Wang Guan · Alex Caceres
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