UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Calgary, Canada
28 Jul 2018
Lightweight
VS
52%
Powell
48%
Mendoza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:52
DP
Devin Powell
9 – 4
6'0"73" reachOrthodox38 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
AH
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza
"Chango"
9 – 6
Knockout Artist3-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Powell

This is a genuine toss-up — Powell at 52% vs Mendoza at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Powell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mendoza has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Powell
Mendoza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Powell
Mendoza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
16.4
46.0
Performance Avg
46.0
60
Quality of Victory
60
22
Momentum Score
22
Powell
Mendoza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
33%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
5
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground1
Powell
Mendoza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Powell
Mendoza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Powell
Mendoza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
22
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Powell
Mendoza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Powell
Mendoza
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume0.5 / 0.5Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Powell
Strike Zones
Mendoza
Powell
Attacking
3HEAD5BODY4LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Mendoza
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD5BODY4LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Powell targets the body (42% of attacks) — Mendoza absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Mendoza targets the body (57% of attacks) — Powell absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Powell
RND
Mendoza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Powell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.5L5.5L5.0W5.5L2017-012017-062018-072018-11
WinLossTrend

Mendoza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.0
0105.0W4.2L1.5L1.5L2015-112016-072017-082018-07
WinLossTrend

Powell · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Alvaro Herrera MendozaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Darrell HorcherRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Mendoza · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Devin PowellRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Jordan RinaldiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Vernon Ramos HoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11

News & Media

Devin Powell · Alvaro Herrera Mendoza
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