UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Middleweight
VS
91%
McFedries
9%
Foupa-Pokam
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McFedries
McFedries is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
McFedries has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McFedries's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
47
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Open Stance
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.3
2.1
53.8
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
0.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
33%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
3Clinch0
3Ground0
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/54 fights
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McFedriesFoupa-Pokam
Strike Zones
McFedries
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedFoupa-Pokam
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McFedries targets the head (100% of attacks) — Foupa-Pokam absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McFedries
RND
Foupa-Pokam
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
McFedries · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Foupa-Pokam · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
McFedries · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalRating 2.8Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
Foupa-Pokam · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Drew McFedriesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Dec · R3
Denis KangRating 5.5Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04