UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Middleweight
VS
91%
McFedries
9%
Foupa-Pokam
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:37
DM
Drew McFedries
"The Massacre"
127
6'0"72" reachSouthpaw47 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 20
XF
Xavier Foupa-Pokam
"Professor X"
3222
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOpen Stance6'1"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McFedries

McFedries is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

McFedries has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McFedries's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
47
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Open Stance
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.3
2.1
53.8
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
0.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
33%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
3Clinch0
3Ground0
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/54 fights
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McFedries
Foupa-Pokam
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume0.9 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McFedries
Strike Zones
Foupa-Pokam
McFedries
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Foupa-Pokam
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McFedries targets the head (100% of attacks) — Foupa-Pokam absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McFedries
RND
Foupa-Pokam
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

McFedries · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0105.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L1.5L5.0W2.8L2006-112008-012008-102009-09
WinLossTrend

Foupa-Pokam · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2009-042009-05
WinLossTrend

McFedries · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06

Foupa-Pokam · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Drew McFedriesRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Dec · R3
Denis KangRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

News & Media

Drew McFedries · Xavier Foupa-Pokam
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