UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Kansas City, USA
26 Apr 2025
Middleweight
VS
56%
Aliskerov
44%
Muniz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aliskerov
This is a genuine toss-up — Aliskerov at 56% vs Muniz at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aliskerov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Aliskerov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Muniz has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Aliskerov
Muniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Aliskerov
Muniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.7
53.7
62.8
Performance Avg
47.7
51
Quality of Victory
40
88
Momentum Score
92
Aliskerov
Muniz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
1.1
62%
Strike Accuracy
46%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
6
10
Body
6
8
Leg
4
RangeRange
25Distance16
1Clinch0
18Ground0
Aliskerov
Muniz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aliskerov
Muniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
22
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
10/32 fights
Aliskerov
Muniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
92
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Aliskerov
Muniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aliskerov
Muniz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
AliskerovMuniz
Strike Zones
Aliskerov
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMuniz
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aliskerov targets the head (59% of attacks) — Muniz absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Muniz targets the head (38% of attacks) — Aliskerov absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aliskerov
RND
Muniz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Aliskerov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Muniz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Aliskerov · Last 5
Upcoming
Brunno FerreiraUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Warlley AlvesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Muniz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02