UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Welterweight
VS
36%
Krause
64%
Alves
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:28
JK
James Krause
"The"
28 – 9
6'2"73" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Warlley
Warlley Alves
15 – 8
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alves

Alves holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Krause has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Krause throws more volume but Alves connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Alves has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Krause
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krause
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.6
39.1
52.0
Performance Avg
49.3
40
Quality of Victory
49
97
Momentum Score
30
Krause
Alves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
12
4
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance7
12Clinch5
0Ground0
Krause
Alves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krause
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
14
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/37 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Krause
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
30
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Krause
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
63%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Krause
Alves
Striking4.7 / 3.5Volume4.9 / 3.0Grappling2.8 / 3.6Wrestling2.0 / 2.5Submission2.2 / 3.8Pressure6.0 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Krause
Strike Zones
Alves
Krause
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Alves
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Krause targets the head (82% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (100% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Krause
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0

Krause · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W2.2L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.7L4.5W2013-062015-022018-012020-10
WinLossTrend

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W5.2W6.3W5.9L6.6L4.5W4.2W2.8L5.5W3.6L5.0W4.1L5.8L3.2L6.3L2014-052016-052018-082021-062024-05
WinLossTrend

Krause · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01

Alves · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R2
Jeremiah WellsRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Mounir LazzezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

News & Media

James Krause · Warlley Alves
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