UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Middleweight
VS
51%
Imavov
49%
Allen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Imavov
This is a genuine toss-up — Imavov at 51% vs Allen at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Imavov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Allen has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Imavov
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Imavov
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.8
61.8
56.4
Performance Avg
56.8
39
Quality of Victory
43
90
Momentum Score
88
Imavov
Allen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
13
2
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance14
5Clinch4
4Ground0
Imavov
Allen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.9
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Imavov
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Imavov
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
88
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Imavov
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
7
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Imavov
Allen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
ImavovAllen
Strike Zones
Imavov
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedAllen
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Imavov targets the head (94% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Allen targets the head (72% of attacks) — Imavov absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Imavov
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0
Imavov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Allen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Imavov · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
Allen · Last 5
Upcoming
Edmen ShahbazyanUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

