UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Sacramento, USA
14 Dec 2013
Featherweight
VS
57%
Mendes
43%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CM
Chad Mendes
"Money"
18 – 5
5'6"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 21
NL
Nik Lentz
"The Carny"
30 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mendes

This is a genuine toss-up — Mendes at 57% vs Lentz at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mendes
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+68"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
16.0
54.7
Performance Avg
45.3
48
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
53
Mendes
Lentz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
1
Body
5
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance17
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Mendes
Lentz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendes
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Mendes
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Mendes
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
36%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mendes
Lentz
Striking8.0 / 3.4Volume4.0 / 6.4Grappling0.8 / 2.7Wrestling0.6 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure6.6 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Mendes
Strike Zones
Lentz
Mendes
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Lentz
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (72% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mendes
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0

Mendes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.9W2.0L5.0W5.0W5.5W6.0W4.5W6.0L5.0W4.1L1.5L5.0W4.2L2011-022012-122014-102018-072018-12
WinLossTrend

Lentz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.4L4.5W5.2W7.5L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.2L6.9L6.8L2009-092012-012015-052018-102021-01
WinLossTrend

Mendes · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

Lentz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

News & Media

Chad Mendes · Nik Lentz
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