METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Sacramento, USA
14 Dec 2013
Featherweight
VS
57%
Mendes
43%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CM
Chad Mendes
"Money"
185
5'6"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 21
NL
Nik Lentz
"The Carny"
3012
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Chad MendeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nik Lentz · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mendes
Actual result
Mendes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Mendes at 57% vs Lentz at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MendesLentz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Mendes
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+68"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
16.0
54.7
Performance Avg
45.3
48
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
53
Mendes
Lentz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
4.3
4.0
Style: Volume
6.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
1
Body
5
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance17
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Mendes
Lentz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mendes
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Mendes
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Mendes
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
36%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mendes
Lentz
Striking8.0 / 3.4Volume4.0 / 6.4Grappling0.8 / 2.7Wrestling0.6 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure6.6 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Mendes
Strike Zones
Lentz
Mendes
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Lentz
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (72% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mendes
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0

Mendes · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander Volkanovski
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles Jury
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie Edgar
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregor
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo Lamas
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

Lentz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Movsar Evloev
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold Allen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles Oliveira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott Holtzman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray Maynard
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

News & Media

Chad Mendes · Nik Lentz
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