METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Mar 2015
Lightweight
VS
77%
Mafra
23%
Carrizosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Leonardo MafrawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cain Carrizosa · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mafra
→
Actual result
Mafra wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Mafra is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
Mafra has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Mafra's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MafraCarrizosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mafra
Carrizosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mafra
Carrizosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
2.4
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
17
Momentum Score
0
Mafra
Carrizosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.5
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
3
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance7
1Clinch0
17Ground0
Mafra
Carrizosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mafra
Carrizosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Mafra
Carrizosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Mafra
Carrizosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mafra
Carrizosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MafraCarrizosa
Strike Zones
Mafra
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedCarrizosa
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mafra targets the head (74% of attacks) — Carrizosa absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Carrizosa targets the head (86% of attacks) — Mafra absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mafra
RND
Carrizosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mafra · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Stevie RayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Cain CarrizosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Rick StorySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · KO · R3
Thiago PerpetuoKO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
Carrizosa · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo MafraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris WadeSubmission
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08