Ian Machado Garry vs Carlos Prates — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Kansas City, USA

26 Apr 2025

Welterweight

44%

Garry

56%

Prates

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Ian Machado Garry

"The Future"

17 – 1

6'3"74" reachOrthodox28 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 63

Carlos Prates

"The Nightmare"

24 – 7

Knockout Artist3-fight win streak33 yrsSwitch78" reach6'1"

CFR 80

★ Official Result

Ian Machado GarrywinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Carlos Prates · UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Prates

→

Actual result

Garry wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Garry at 44% vs Prates at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Prates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

GarryPrates

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Garry

Prates

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"+

Height

6'1"

74"

Reach

+78"

28+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Garry

Prates

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

62.9

79.6

54.0

Performance Avg

70.6

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

100

Garry

Prates

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.7

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

4.6

Style: Pressure

9.6

7.3

Style: Volume

1.8

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

26Distance9

2Clinch1

0Ground12

Garry

Prates

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

1.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Garry

Prates

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/18 fights

Chin rating based on

8/31 fights

Garry

Prates

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · KO · R3

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R1

Garry

Prates

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

30%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garry

Prates

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

1.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

1.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

9.6

7.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

1.8

Garry

Strike Zones

Prates

Garry

Attacking

28 landed

Absorbing

22 absorbed

Prates

Attacking

22 landed

Absorbing

28 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Garry targets the head (79% of attacks) — Prates absorbs 79% of strikes there

🎯Prates targets the head (77% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garry

RND

Prates

0/0R00/0

Garry · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Islam Makhachev

Decision

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Belal Muhammad

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · Dec · R5

Carlos Prates

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

L · Dec · R5

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Decision

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

W · Dec · R3

Michael Page

Decision

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Prates · Last 5

W · KO · R3

Jack Della Maddalena

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05

W · KO · R2

Leon Edwards

KO/TKO

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Geoff Neal

KO/TKO

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

L · Dec · R5

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

W · KO · R1

Neil Magny

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

News & Media

Ian Machado Garry · Carlos Prates

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