UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Welterweight
VS
67%
Pendred
33%
Spencer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CP
Cathal Pendred
"The Punisher"
17 – 4
6'1"75" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
SS
Sean Spencer
"Black Magic"
12 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pendred

Pendred holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Spencer has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Spencer throws more volume but Pendred connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Spencer has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pendred
Spencer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pendred
Spencer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
9.8
45.3
Performance Avg
30.0
31
Quality of Victory
25
99
Momentum Score
25
Pendred
Spencer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
1
Body
2
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance16
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Pendred
Spencer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pendred
Spencer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/21 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Pendred
Spencer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pendred
Spencer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pendred
Spencer
Striking1.3 / 0.8Volume7.3 / 8.8Grappling3.8 / 2.4Wrestling2.7 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 1.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Pendred
Strike Zones
Spencer
Pendred
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY10LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Spencer
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY10LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pendred targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Spencer targets the head (81% of attacks) — Pendred absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pendred
RND
Spencer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pendred · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L2014-072014-102015-012015-062015-072015-10
WinLossTrend

Spencer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W5.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.0L2.8L2013-012013-112014-092016-022016-09
WinLossTrend

Pendred · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tom BreeseRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Augusto MontanoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10

Spencer · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R3
Mike PyleRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03

News & Media

Cathal Pendred · Sean Spencer
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