UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
50%
Cedeno
50%
Sanders
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cedeno
This is a genuine toss-up — Cedeno at 50% vs Sanders at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Cedeno throws more volume but Sanders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Cedeno
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cedeno
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.6
11.5
28.0
Performance Avg
28.3
30
Quality of Victory
25
36
Momentum Score
40
Cedeno
Sanders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.6
29%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
4
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch0
11Ground1
Cedeno
Sanders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
1.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cedeno
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Cedeno
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · R1
Cedeno
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cedeno
Sanders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
CedenoSanders
Strike Zones
Cedeno
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSanders
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cedeno targets the head (62% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Sanders targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cedeno absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cedeno
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cedeno · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Sanders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Cedeno · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Cody PfisterRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Chad LapriseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · R1
Jerrod SandersRating 4UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Ernest ChavezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
Sanders · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Felipe ArantesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Russell DoaneRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
Upcoming
Pedro MunhozUFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · R1
Yosdenis CedenoRating 4UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07