UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
18 May 2024
Bantamweight
VS
51%
49%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
This is a genuine toss-up — at 51% vs Rodrigues at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Rodrigues has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.2
44.4
44.2
Performance Avg
46.0
32
Quality of Victory
60
49
Momentum Score
22
Rodrigues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.6
31%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
2
Body
6
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
7Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rodrigues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
22
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Strike Zones
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (71% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (38% of attacks) — absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Rodrigues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
· Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Kleydson RodriguesRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin CroomRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Rodrigues · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Sub · R1
Farid BasharatRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Shannon RossRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
CJ VergaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

