UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
25 Feb 2023
Catch Weight
VS
49%
Osbourne
51%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Osbourne at 49% vs Johnson at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Osbourne's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Osbourne
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
34+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Osbourne
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
53.8
43.7
Performance Avg
48.4
45
Quality of Victory
43
87
Momentum Score
75
Osbourne
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
10
5
Body
5
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
11Distance15
3Clinch8
0Ground0
Osbourne
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Osbourne
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Osbourne
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
75
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Osbourne
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
38%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Osbourne
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
OsbourneJohnson
Strike Zones
Osbourne
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Osbourne targets the head (57% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (43% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Osbourne
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Osbourne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Osbourne · Last 5
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Johnson · Last 5
Upcoming
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