★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Jones
50%
Gane
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jones
This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 50% vs Gane at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Gane has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Jones
Gane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
84"+
Reach
81"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Gane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
70.0
74.6
Performance Avg
62.1
61
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
100
Jones
Gane
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
63%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
2
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jones
Gane
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
6
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Gane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
14/15 fights
Jones
Gane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Jones
Gane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Gane
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
JonesGane
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGane
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Gane absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Gane targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Gane
0/0R00/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Gane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Gane · Last 5
Upcoming
Alex PereiraUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
Upcoming
Tom AspinallUFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 5.8Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Sub · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

