METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Gaziev
44%
Mayes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Shamil GazievwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Don'Tale Mayes · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gaziev
→
Actual result
Gaziev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Gaziev at 56% vs Mayes at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gaziev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Gaziev's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mayes has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GazievMayes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gaziev
Mayes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'6"
78"
Reach
+81"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gaziev
Mayes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.9
41.2
52.9
Performance Avg
37.8
50
Quality of Victory
39
49
Momentum Score
43
Gaziev
Mayes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.6
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
4.6
3.1
Style: Volume
4.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gaziev
Mayes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gaziev
Mayes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Gaziev
Mayes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Gaziev
Mayes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gaziev
Mayes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
GazievMayes
Strike Zones
Gaziev
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMayes
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gaziev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mayes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mayes targets the head (40% of attacks) — Gaziev absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gaziev
RND
Mayes
0/0R00/0
Gaziev · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Brando PericicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Thomas PetersenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Mayes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GazievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoDecision
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