UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Lightweight
VS
40%
Burkman
60%
Felder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
28 – 16
5'10"72" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Felder

Felder holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Burkman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Felder has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burkman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burkman
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"+
Reach
70"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burkman
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
21.7
34.7
Performance Avg
49.0
36
Quality of Victory
42
80
Momentum Score
100
Burkman
Felder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
1
Body
6
5
Leg
7
RangeRange
10Distance14
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Burkman
Felder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burkman
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/44 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Burkman
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Burkman
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Burkman
Felder
Striking2.3 / 5.6Volume6.0 / 4.8Grappling2.9 / 2.0Wrestling2.0 / 1.4Submission1.7 / 1.1Pressure3.3 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Burkman
Strike Zones
Felder
Burkman
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY5LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD6BODY7LEGS16 absorbed
Felder
Attacking
3HEAD6BODY7LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY5LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Burkman targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Burkman
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0

Burkman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L4.0L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L2.7L1.5L2005-112007-052015-052017-032018-02
WinLossTrend

Felder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W6.0L5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.7W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L2014-102016-012017-072019-092020-11
WinLossTrend

Burkman · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

News & Media

Joshua Burkman · Paul Felder
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