UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Omaha, USA
15 Feb 2012
Lightweight
VS
93%
Means
7%
Magalhaes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Means
Means is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Means has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Means
Magalhaes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Magalhaes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
2.7
45.2
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Means
Magalhaes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
23%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
5
8
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance7
5Clinch0
10Ground0
Means
Magalhaes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Magalhaes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Means
Magalhaes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Means
Magalhaes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Means
Magalhaes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MeansMagalhaes
Strike Zones
Means
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMagalhaes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (75% of attacks) — Magalhaes absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Magalhaes targets the head (71% of attacks) — Means absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Means
RND
Magalhaes
0/0R00/0
Means · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Magalhaes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Magalhaes · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Henry MartinezRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02