UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
Winnipeg, Canada
15 Jun 2013
Lightweight
VS
36%
Stout
64%
Krause
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Krause
Krause holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Stout has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Krause has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Krause has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stout's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stout
Krause
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stout
Krause
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.3
21.6
35.3
Performance Avg
52.0
29
Quality of Victory
40
60
Momentum Score
97
Stout
Krause
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.3
28%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
32
8
Body
3
12
Leg
6
RangeRange
26Distance41
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Stout
Krause
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stout
Krause
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Stout
Krause
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
97
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Stout
Krause
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stout
Krause
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
StoutKrause
Strike Zones
Stout
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedKrause
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stout targets the legs (46% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Krause targets the head (78% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stout
RND
Krause
0/0R00/0
Stout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Krause · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseRating 4Submission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Krause · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01