METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Lightweight
VS
58%
Dober
42%
Haqparast
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:10
★ Official Result
Drew DoberwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:10
def. Nasrat Haqparast · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Dober wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dober at 58% vs Haqparast at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Haqparast has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DoberHaqparast
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dober
Haqparast
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Dober
Haqparast
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
43.5
53.2
Performance Avg
43.9
50
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
59
Dober
Haqparast
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
3.3
2.8
Style: Volume
7.7
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Dober
Haqparast
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dober
Haqparast
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
16/24 fights
Dober
Haqparast
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Dober
Haqparast
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
20%
11
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
Haqparast
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
DoberHaqparast
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHaqparast
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (92% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Haqparast targets the head (43% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
Haqparast
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
Haqparast · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Chris PadillaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12