UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Lightweight
VS
56%
Dober
44%
Haqparast
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dober
This is a genuine toss-up — Dober at 56% vs Haqparast at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Haqparast has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Haqparast has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dober
Haqparast
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Dober
Haqparast
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
48.0
53.2
Performance Avg
45.6
50
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
72
Dober
Haqparast
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
48%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
11 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Dober
Haqparast
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dober
Haqparast
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Dober
Haqparast
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Dober
Haqparast
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
20%
11
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
Haqparast
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
DoberHaqparast
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHaqparast
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (92% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Haqparast targets the head (43% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
Haqparast
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Haqparast · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
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Haqparast · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5Decision
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