METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Welterweight
VS
65%
Pendred
35%
Umalatov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cathal PendredwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gasan Umalatov · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pendred
→
Actual result
Pendred wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pendred holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Umalatov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Umalatov throws more volume but Pendred connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PendredUmalatov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pendred
Umalatov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
71"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pendred
Umalatov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
10.7
45.3
Performance Avg
25.0
31
Quality of Victory
25
99
Momentum Score
33
Pendred
Umalatov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.0
40%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
2
Body
2
15
Leg
3
RangeRange
23Distance14
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Pendred
Umalatov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pendred
Umalatov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Pendred
Umalatov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pendred
Umalatov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pendred
Umalatov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PendredUmalatov
Strike Zones
Pendred
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedUmalatov
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pendred targets the legs (65% of attacks) — Umalatov absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Umalatov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pendred absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pendred
RND
Umalatov
0/0R00/0
Pendred · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Umalatov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Pendred · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom BreeseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Augusto MontanoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Umalatov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02