UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Welterweight
VS
65%
Pendred
35%
Umalatov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CP
Cathal Pendred
"The Punisher"
17 – 4
6'1"75" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
GU
Gasan Umalatov
"Cobra"
17 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pendred

Pendred holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Umalatov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Umalatov throws more volume but Pendred connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Pendred
Umalatov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
71"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pendred
Umalatov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
10.7
45.3
Performance Avg
25.0
31
Quality of Victory
25
99
Momentum Score
33
Pendred
Umalatov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
40%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
2
Body
2
15
Leg
3
RangeRange
23Distance14
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Pendred
Umalatov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pendred
Umalatov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Pendred
Umalatov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pendred
Umalatov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pendred
Umalatov
Striking1.3 / 0.5Volume7.3 / 8.5Grappling3.8 / 2.4Wrestling2.7 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Pendred
Strike Zones
Umalatov
Pendred
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY15LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Umalatov
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY15LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pendred targets the legs (65% of attacks) — Umalatov absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Umalatov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pendred absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pendred
RND
Umalatov
0/0R00/0

Pendred · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L2014-072014-102015-012015-062015-072015-10
WinLossTrend

Umalatov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.1L4.5W5.5L5.5L2014-022014-052014-102015-11
WinLossTrend

Pendred · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tom BreeseRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Augusto MontanoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SpencerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Gasan UmalatovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10

Umalatov · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Cathal Pendred · Gasan Umalatov
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