METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Catch Weight
VS
48%
Castaneda
52%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:28
★ Official Result
Daniel SantoswinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:28
def. John Castaneda · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Castaneda at 48% vs Santos at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CastanedaSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Castaneda
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
71"+
Reach
67"
34
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Castaneda
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
55.6
43.2
Performance Avg
50.7
39
Quality of Victory
40
71
Momentum Score
71
Castaneda
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
5.5
5.0
Style: Volume
5.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
37
5
Body
12
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance41
3Clinch8
0Ground1
Castaneda
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Castaneda
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Castaneda
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Castaneda
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Castaneda
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
CastanedaSantos
Strike Zones
Castaneda
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedSantos
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Castaneda targets the head (65% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (74% of attacks) — Castaneda absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Castaneda
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Castaneda · Last 5
Upcoming
AlatengheiliUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
Upcoming
Mark VologdinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangDecision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
JooSang YooKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
JeongYeong LeeDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Johnny MunozDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
John CastanedaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10