★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 112: Invincible
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Apr 2010
Middleweight
VS
44%
Silva
56%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 44% vs Maia at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
72"
51
Age
+48
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
32.4
71.6
Performance Avg
50.8
72
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Maia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
63%
Strike Accuracy
41%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
11 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch2
1Ground0
Silva
Maia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.1
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/45 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Silva
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Silva
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
55%
11
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
11
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Maia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
SilvaMaia
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMaia
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (57% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Uriah HallRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 4.8Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel CormierRating 5.5Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02