UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Lightweight
VS
54%
Green
46%
Gordon
Win Probability
King
King Green
35 – 17
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Jared
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Green

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 54% vs Gordon at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Green
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
68"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Green
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
42.1
45.9
Performance Avg
42.8
38
Quality of Victory
36
85
Momentum Score
63
Green
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
2.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
6
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance17
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Green
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Green
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/52 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Green
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
63
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Green
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green
Gordon
Striking3.6 / 4.4Volume5.6 / 6.4Grappling2.9 / 1.6Wrestling2.0 / 1.1Submission1.9 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Green
Strike Zones
Gordon
Green
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (65% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (53% of attacks) — Green absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L2.8L5.5L4.5W6.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.7L6.5L5.0W5.2W3.5L4.0L6.0W6.5W2.7L4.9W3.2L3.2L5.9W5.6W5.5W2013-022018-012021-082023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Gordon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W2.5L4.6L4.5W2.9L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.6W7.2L5.2W6.2L5.2W4.8L1.9L2017-062019-112022-082025-092026-05
WinLossTrend

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

King Green · Jared Gordon
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