UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2016
Heavyweight
VS
98%
Lewis
2%
Grabowski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:17
DG
CFR 2
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
Lewis is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Striking split: Grabowski throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grabowski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lewis
Grabowski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
75"
41+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Grabowski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
1.5
57.5
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
84
Momentum Score
0
Lewis
Grabowski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
56%
Strike Accuracy
41%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
16 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
13Ground1
Lewis
Grabowski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Grabowski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
3/25 fights
Lewis
Grabowski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Lewis
Grabowski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
16
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Grabowski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LewisGrabowski
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGrabowski
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (93% of attacks) — Grabowski absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Grabowski targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Grabowski
0/0R00/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Grabowski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Grabowski · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Chase ShermanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02