UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Lightweight
VS
53%
Miller
47%
Benitez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 53% vs Benitez at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Benitez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Benitez has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Benitez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Benitez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
38.7
51.5
Performance Avg
46.5
45
Quality of Victory
46
28
Momentum Score
39
Miller
Benitez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
16
1
Body
4
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
19Distance26
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Miller
Benitez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Benitez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Miller
Benitez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Miller
Benitez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
71%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
14
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Benitez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
MillerBenitez
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedBenitez
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (70% of attacks) — Benitez absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Benitez targets the head (62% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Benitez
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Benitez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Benitez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · KO · R1
Charlie OntiverosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R1
David OnamaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
L · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

