UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Newark, USA
18 Apr 2015
Middleweight
VS
73%
Gordon
27%
Dempsey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gordon
Gordon is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gordon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 75 points.
Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dempsey has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gordon
Dempsey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gordon
Dempsey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
8.2
70.0
Performance Avg
25.0
100
Quality of Victory
25
22
Momentum Score
22
Gordon
Dempsey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
37%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
11
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance9
0Clinch2
0Ground2
Gordon
Dempsey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gordon
Dempsey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
34
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Gordon
Dempsey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Gordon
Dempsey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Dempsey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
GordonDempsey
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedDempsey
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dempsey absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Dempsey targets the head (85% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Dempsey
0/0R00/0
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Dempsey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.3WinLossTrend
Gordon · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris DempseyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R2
Josh SammanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Dhiego LimaRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Dempsey · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Scott AskhamRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R1
Jonathan WilsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Eddie GordonRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07