METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Middleweight
VS
80%
Zachrich
20%
Vasconcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Luke ZachrichwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Guilherme Vasconcelos · UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Zachrich
→
Actual result
Zachrich wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Zachrich is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zachrich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Zachrich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Zachrich's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZachrichVasconcelos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.5
2.7
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
1.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
16
2
Body
4
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance24
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
1/13 fights
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ZachrichVasconcelos
Strike Zones
Zachrich
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedVasconcelos
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zachrich targets the head (70% of attacks) — Vasconcelos absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Vasconcelos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Zachrich absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zachrich
RND
Vasconcelos
0/0R00/0
Zachrich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Zachrich · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Daniel KellyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme VasconcelosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Caio MagalhaesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
Vasconcelos · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Luke ZachrichRating 5.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07