UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Middleweight
VS
80%
Zachrich
20%
Vasconcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LZ
Luke Zachrich
14 – 4
6'2"74" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 11
GV
Guilherme Vasconcelos
"Bomba"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Zachrich

Zachrich is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Zachrich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Zachrich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Zachrich's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.5
2.7
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
16
2
Body
4
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance24
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
1/13 fights
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Zachrich
Strike Zones
Vasconcelos
Zachrich
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY5LEGS25 absorbed
Vasconcelos
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY5LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zachrich targets the head (70% of attacks) — Vasconcelos absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Vasconcelos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Zachrich absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zachrich
RND
Vasconcelos
0/0R00/0

Zachrich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.5
0101.5L4.5W1.5L2014-042014-072014-11
WinLossTrend

Zachrich · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Daniel KellyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme VasconcelosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Caio MagalhaesRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04

Vasconcelos · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Luke ZachrichRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07

News & Media

Luke Zachrich · Guilherme Vasconcelos
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