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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Middleweight
VS
80%
Zachrich
20%
Vasconcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LZ
Luke Zachrich
144
6'2"74" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 11
GV
Guilherme Vasconcelos
"Bomba"
94
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Luke ZachrichwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Guilherme Vasconcelos · UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Zachrich
Actual result
Zachrich wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Zachrich is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Zachrich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Risk flags

Zachrich's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ZachrichVasconcelos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.5
2.7
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
16
2
Body
4
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance24
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
1/13 fights
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zachrich
Vasconcelos
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Zachrich
Strike Zones
Vasconcelos
Zachrich
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD4BODY5LEGS25 absorbed
Vasconcelos
Attacking
16HEAD4BODY5LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zachrich targets the head (70% of attacks) — Vasconcelos absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Vasconcelos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Zachrich absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zachrich
RND
Vasconcelos
0/0R00/0

Zachrich · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Daniel Kelly
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme Vasconcelos
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Caio Magalhaes
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04

Vasconcelos · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Luke Zachrich
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07

News & Media

Luke Zachrich · Guilherme Vasconcelos
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