UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Featherweight
VS
29%
Edgar
71%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Edgar throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edgar
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+74"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
63.3
48.0
Performance Avg
58.6
39
Quality of Victory
51
68
Momentum Score
100
Edgar
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
10
8
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
27Distance9
2Clinch2
5Ground0
Edgar
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Edgar
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Edgar
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
84%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
17
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edgar
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
EdgarOliveira
Strike Zones
Edgar
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (71% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (91% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edgar
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04