METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Welterweight
VS
64%
MacDonald
36%
Saffiedine
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:28
★ Official Result
Rory MacDonaldwinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:28
def. Tarec Saffiedine · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
MacDonald
→
Actual result
MacDonald wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
MacDonald holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Saffiedine has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
MacDonald has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldSaffiedine
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
10.1
51.3
Performance Avg
28.3
39
Quality of Victory
25
61
Momentum Score
25
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
1.0
5.8
Style: Volume
8.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance9
0Clinch0
6Ground0
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MacDonaldSaffiedine
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSaffiedine
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (91% of attacks) — Saffiedine absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Saffiedine targets the legs (67% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Saffiedine
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
MacDonald · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stephen ThompsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec SaffiedineKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyDecision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaDecision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
Saffiedine · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
L · KO · R3
Rory MacDonaldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10