UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Welterweight
VS
64%
MacDonald
36%
Saffiedine
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: MacDonald
MacDonald holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Saffiedine has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
MacDonald has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
MacDonald has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
70"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
10.1
51.3
Performance Avg
28.3
39
Quality of Victory
25
61
Momentum Score
25
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance9
0Clinch0
6Ground0
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Saffiedine
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MacDonaldSaffiedine
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSaffiedine
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (91% of attacks) — Saffiedine absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Saffiedine targets the legs (67% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Saffiedine
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
MacDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Saffiedine · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
MacDonald · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie LawlerRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
Saffiedine · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
L · KO · R3
Rory MacDonaldRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10