The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale
Las Vegas, USA
15 Dec 2012
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Duran
50%
Viana
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Duran
This is a genuine toss-up — Duran at 50% vs Viana at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Viana throws more volume but Duran connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Viana has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Duran
Viana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
67"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duran
Viana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.7
14.8
37.0
Performance Avg
42.0
45
Quality of Victory
37
22
Momentum Score
45
Duran
Viana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
18
3
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance17
3Clinch0
0Ground5
Duran
Viana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duran
Viana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Duran
Viana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Duran
Viana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duran
Viana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
DuranViana
Strike Zones
Duran
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedViana
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duran targets the head (50% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Viana targets the head (82% of attacks) — Duran absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duran
RND
Viana
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0
Duran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Duran · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · KO · R1
Hugo VianaRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
W · Sub · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 5.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
Viana · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramiro HernandezRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
TJ DillashawRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
W · KO · R1
Reuben DuranRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12