Tom Nolan vs Viacheslav Borshchev — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2

Sydney, Australia

8 Feb 2025

Lightweight

58%

Nolan

42%

Borshchev

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Tom Nolan

"Big Train"

10 – 1

6'3"73" reachSouthpaw26 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 64

Viacheslav Borshchev

"Slava Claus"

8 – 7

Striker3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"

CFR 45

★ Official Result

Tom NolanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Viacheslav Borshchev · UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Nolan

→

Actual result

Nolan wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Nolan at 58% vs Borshchev at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Borshchev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NolanBorshchev

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Nolan

Borshchev

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"+

Height

5'11"

73"+

Reach

69"

26+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Nolan

Borshchev

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

63.6

45.4

56.0

Performance Avg

41.3

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Nolan

Borshchev

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.7

/ 10

7.3

/ 10

5.3

Style: Pressure

5.7

6.5

Style: Volume

3.3

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

14Distance7

2Clinch0

0Ground3

Nolan

Borshchev

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

0.8

/ 10

2.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.6

2.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Nolan

Borshchev

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

5 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/11 fights

Chin rating based on

10/15 fights

Nolan

Borshchev

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

Nolan

Borshchev

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nolan

Borshchev

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.3

3.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.8

2.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

2.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.7

6.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.3

Nolan

Strike Zones

Borshchev

Nolan

Attacking

16 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Borshchev

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

16 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Nolan targets the head (69% of attacks) — Borshchev absorbs 69% of strikes there

🎯Borshchev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nolan absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nolan

RND

Borshchev

0/0R00/0

Nolan · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Fares Ziam

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · Sub · R1

Charlie Campbell

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

W · Dec · R3

Viacheslav Borshchev

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Alex Reyes

Decision

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

W · KO · R1

Victor Martinez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

Borshchev · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Matheus Camilo

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

L · Sub · R1

Terrance McKinney

Submission

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Tom Nolan

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

James Llontop

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

L · Sub · R2

Chase Hooper

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Tom Nolan · Viacheslav Borshchev

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