UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
10 Apr 2021
Middleweight
VS
33%
Alvey
67%
Marquez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:07
Julian Marquez
"The Cuban Missile Crisis"
9 – 6
Submission Hunter4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'2"
CFR 46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marquez
Marquez holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Alvey has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquez has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Alvey
Marquez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alvey
Marquez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
45.8
44.3
Performance Avg
43.8
45
Quality of Victory
48
43
Momentum Score
46
Alvey
Marquez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
3.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
27
0
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground19
Alvey
Marquez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alvey
Marquez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Alvey
Marquez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
46
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Alvey
Marquez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alvey
Marquez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
AlveyMarquez
Strike Zones
Alvey
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedMarquez
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marquez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Marquez targets the head (79% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alvey
RND
Marquez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alvey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Marquez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
Marquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Zach ReeseRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Sam AlveyRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04