UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Chicago, USA
9 Jun 2018
Welterweight
VS
12%
Punk
88%
Jackson
Win Probability
CP
CM Punk
0 – 1
6'1"73" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 3
MJ
Mike Jackson
"The Truth"
1 – 2
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'2"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jackson

Jackson is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jackson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.

Jackson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jackson has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Punk
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+74"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Punk
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.5
17.8
0.0
Performance Avg
31.3
0
Quality of Victory
30
0
Momentum Score
35
Punk
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
2.6
12%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
21
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance11
1Clinch7
0Ground4
Punk
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Punk
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2 fights
Chin rating based on
4 fights
Punk
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Punk
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Punk
Jackson
Striking0.0 / 0.7Volume0.0 / 0.7Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Punk
Strike Zones
Jackson
Punk
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Jackson
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Punk targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (95% of attacks) — Punk absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Punk
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.7
0102.0L4.0W2.2L2016-022022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Punk · Last 2

Upcoming
Mike Jackson
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallRating 2
Submission
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09

Jackson · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Pete RodriguezRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
W · R1
Dean BarryRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
Upcoming
CM Punk
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02

News & Media

CM Punk · Mike Jackson
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