UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Barueri, Brazil
20 Dec 2014
Welterweight
VS
88%
Silva
12%
Rhodes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva
Rhodes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Rhodes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
2.4
51.3
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Rhodes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Rhodes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
7.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Rhodes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Silva
Rhodes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Silva
Rhodes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Rhodes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SilvaRhodes
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRhodes
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rhodes absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rhodes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Rhodes
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rhodes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
Rhodes · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
George SullivanRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01