UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
87%
Barroso
13%
Mutapcic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barroso
Barroso is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barroso has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Mutapcic throws more volume but Barroso connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Barroso
Mutapcic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barroso
Mutapcic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
2.1
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Barroso
Mutapcic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
33%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
10
3
Body
8
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance12
4Clinch6
0Ground0
Barroso
Mutapcic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barroso
Mutapcic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Barroso
Mutapcic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Barroso
Mutapcic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barroso
Mutapcic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BarrosoMutapcic
Strike Zones
Barroso
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedMutapcic
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barroso targets the head (71% of attacks) — Mutapcic absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Mutapcic targets the head (56% of attacks) — Barroso absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barroso
RND
Mutapcic
0/0R00/0
Barroso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Mutapcic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Barroso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Upcoming
Darren StewartUFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Nikita KrylovRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
Mutapcic · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 3.9KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
Upcoming
Kevin CaseyDecision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Francimar BarrosoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01