UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Melbourne, Australia
26 Nov 2016
Lightweight
VS
42%
Brown
58%
Tuck
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Damien Brown
"Beatdown"
17 – 12
5'10"68" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
JT
Jon Tuck
"Super Saiyan"
10 – 5
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tuck

This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 42% vs Tuck at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Brown throws more volume but Tuck connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Brown
Tuck
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Tuck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
18.4
38.8
Performance Avg
45.2
43
Quality of Victory
46
15
Momentum Score
54
Brown
Tuck
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
3
Body
4
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance13
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Brown
Tuck
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Tuck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Brown
Tuck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
54
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Brown
Tuck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brown
Tuck
Striking5.7 / 3.4Volume4.7 / 2.9Grappling1.2 / 4.6Wrestling0.8 / 3.2Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.5 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Brown
Strike Zones
Tuck
Brown
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Tuck
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (59% of attacks) — Tuck absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Tuck targets the head (60% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brown
RND
Tuck
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W4.5W1.7L5.5L5.5L2016-032016-072016-112017-062017-112018-02
WinLossTrend

Tuck · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.0W5.6L5.5L5.0W6.7L2012-112014-092016-112018-08
WinLossTrend

Brown · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Frank CamachoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Vinc PichelRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon TuckRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Cesar ArzamendiaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

Tuck · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Drew DoberRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Sub · R1
Takanori GomiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Damien BrownRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tae Hyun BangRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05

News & Media

Damien Brown · Jon Tuck
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