METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
83%
Aldrich
17%
Mueller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
JJ AldrichwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lauren Mueller · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldrich
→
Actual result
Aldrich wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Aldrich is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aldrich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Aldrich's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldrichMueller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldrich
Mueller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
67"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Aldrich
Mueller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
10.0
42.5
Performance Avg
25.0
28
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
28
Aldrich
Mueller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
37%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
16
5
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
37Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldrich
Mueller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldrich
Mueller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Aldrich
Mueller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
28
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Aldrich
Mueller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldrich
Mueller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
AldrichMueller
Strike Zones
Aldrich
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMueller
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldrich targets the head (84% of attacks) — Mueller absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Mueller targets the head (84% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldrich
RND
Mueller
0/0R00/0
Aldrich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Mueller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Aldrich · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · KO · R2
Liang NaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
Mueller · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Poliana BotelhoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Wu YananRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Shana DobsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04