METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
83%
Aldrich
17%
Mueller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
JJ AldrichwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lauren Mueller · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldrich
→
Actual result
Aldrich wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Aldrich is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Aldrich's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldrichMueller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldrich
Mueller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
67"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Aldrich
Mueller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
10.0
42.5
Performance Avg
25.0
28
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
28
Aldrich
Mueller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
0.8
8.6
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
16
5
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
37Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldrich
Mueller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldrich
Mueller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Aldrich
Mueller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
28
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Aldrich
Mueller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldrich
Mueller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
AldrichMueller
Strike Zones
Aldrich
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMueller
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldrich targets the head (84% of attacks) — Mueller absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Mueller targets the head (84% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldrich
RND
Mueller
0/0R00/0
Aldrich · Last 5
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