UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Rosemont, USA
25 Oct 2008
Welterweight
VS
49%
Alves
51%
Koscheck
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
5'9"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
JK
Josh Koscheck
17 – 11
Well-Rounded5-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Koscheck

This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 49% vs Koscheck at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alves has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Koscheck has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alves
Koscheck
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Koscheck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
16.9
47.3
Performance Avg
50.5
42
Quality of Victory
44
63
Momentum Score
59
Alves
Koscheck
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
11
0
Body
1
16
Leg
2
RangeRange
32Distance12
8Clinch2
0Ground0
Alves
Koscheck
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
Koscheck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
25/28 fights
Alves
Koscheck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Alves
Koscheck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alves
Koscheck
Striking5.8 / 5.2Volume4.3 / 4.4Grappling1.5 / 2.6Wrestling1.0 / 1.8Submission0.7 / 2.0Pressure5.4 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Alves
Strike Zones
Koscheck
Alves
Attacking
24HEAD0BODY16LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Koscheck
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD0BODY16LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (60% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Koscheck targets the head (79% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alves
RND
Koscheck
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W4.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W4.4L5.9L4.5W2.8L5.5L5.1W5.5L1.6L2005-102007-112011-052017-042019-12
WinLossTrend

Koscheck · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L1.8L1.5L2.8L1.5L2005-042007-042009-092013-022015-03
WinLossTrend

Alves · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Koscheck · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05

News & Media

Thiago Alves · Josh Koscheck
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