METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2013
Welterweight
VS
14%
Spencer
86%
Dober
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sean SpencerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Drew Dober · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Spencer wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dober is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Spencer's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SpencerDober
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spencer
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Spencer
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.8
59.9
30.0
Performance Avg
53.2
25
Quality of Victory
50
25
Momentum Score
100
Spencer
Dober
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
1.1
Style: Pressure
7.3
8.8
Style: Volume
2.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
11
13
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
34Distance15
13Clinch5
0Ground0
Spencer
Dober
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spencer
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Spencer
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Spencer
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spencer
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
SpencerDober
Strike Zones
Spencer
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedDober
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spencer targets the head (70% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (55% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spencer
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
Spencer · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Yancy MedeirosSubmission
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R3
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredDecision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaDecision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02