METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jun 2012
Lightweight
VS
91%
Lawrence
9%
Cofer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:19
JL
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Justin LawrencewinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:19
def. John Cofer · The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawrence
→
Actual result
Lawrence wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lawrence is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lawrence has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Lawrence's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cofer has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LawrenceCofer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lawrence
Cofer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lawrence
Cofer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
1.8
43.3
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Lawrence
Cofer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.7
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Lawrence
Cofer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Lawrence
Cofer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Lawrence
Cofer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Lawrence
Cofer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lawrence
Cofer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LawrenceCofer
Strike Zones
Lawrence
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedCofer
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lawrence targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cofer absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lawrence
RND
Cofer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lawrence · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Daniel PinedaSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · KO · R3
John CoferKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
Cofer · Last 2
L · Sub · R3
Mike RioSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · KO · R3
Justin LawrenceKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06