METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Mir
46%
Overeem
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alistair OvereemwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Frank Mir · UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mir
→
Actual result
Overeem wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 54% vs Overeem at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Overeem has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MirOvereem
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mir
Overeem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
79"
Reach
+80"
47
Age
+46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Overeem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
18.1
57.4
Performance Avg
55.0
56
Quality of Victory
52
88
Momentum Score
56
Mir
Overeem
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
8.7
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
7.0
2.2
Style: Volume
3.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
11
0
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Mir
Overeem
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
8
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mir
Overeem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
20/66 fights
Mir
Overeem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Mir
Overeem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
9
8
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mir
Overeem
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
MirOvereem
Strike Zones
Mir
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedOvereem
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (61% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mir
RND
Overeem
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mir · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04