UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Mir
46%
Overeem
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FM
Frank Mir
18 – 11
6'3"79" reachSouthpaw47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
Knockout Artist46 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mir

This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 54% vs Overeem at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Overeem has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mir
Overeem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
79"
Reach
+80"
47
Age
+46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Overeem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
18.1
57.4
Performance Avg
55.0
56
Quality of Victory
52
88
Momentum Score
56
Mir
Overeem
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
73%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
11
0
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Mir
Overeem
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mir
Overeem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
20/66 fights
Mir
Overeem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Mir
Overeem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
9
8
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mir
Overeem
Striking4.3 / 8.7Volume2.2 / 3.2Grappling4.3 / 0.6Wrestling3.0 / 0.4Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Mir
Strike Zones
Overeem
Mir
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Overeem
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (61% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mir
RND
Overeem
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Mir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.1W2.1L5.0W1.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W2.1L5.5L1.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W6.2L1.5L2001-112006-022009-122013-082016-03
WinLossTrend

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Mir · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

News & Media

Frank Mir · Alistair Overeem
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