UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Lightweight
VS
51%
Winner
49%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AW
Andre Winner
21 – 11
5'11"73" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
NL
Nik Lentz
"The Carny"
30 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Winner

This is a genuine toss-up — Winner at 51% vs Lentz at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lentz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Winner
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Winner
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
16.0
38.8
Performance Avg
45.3
43
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
53
Winner
Lentz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
29%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch1
0Ground2
Winner
Lentz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Winner
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/32 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Winner
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Winner
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Winner
Lentz
Striking5.7 / 3.4Volume4.7 / 6.4Grappling1.2 / 2.7Wrestling0.8 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure4.5 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Winner
Strike Zones
Lentz
Winner
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Lentz
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Winner targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (83% of attacks) — Winner absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Winner
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0

Winner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2009-062009-112010-032010-082010-112011-07
WinLossTrend

Lentz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.4L4.5W5.2W7.5L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.2L6.9L6.8L2009-092012-012015-052018-102021-01
WinLossTrend

Winner · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Sub · R1
Dennis SiverRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Dec · R3
Rafaello OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R1
Rolando DelgadoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

Lentz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

News & Media

Andre Winner · Nik Lentz
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